Putting the results in context

Results of a new poll carried out by NYT Upshot were distributed. The poll asked interviewees from Texas for whom they will vote: Democrat Hillary Clinton or Republican Donald Trump.

The poll was carried out with 0 respondents.

Putting the results in context

As any other method, polls are subject to bias. Hence, a good strategy is to not have too much faith in the results of a single poll. At the very least, one should examine how a poll's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

For the following comparison, we translate the candidates' raw poll numbers into two-party vote shares. This yields figures of 85.9% for Clinton and 0.0% for Trump. On August 16 Clinton received only 82.1% in the NYT Upshot poll and Trump received 0.0%.

Comparison to other polls

In comparison to the average results of other polls Clinton performed better with 0.0 percentage points, while Trump did worse with 0.0 percentage points.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

The most recent PollyVote predicts Clinton to gain 44.0% and Trump 56.0% of the two-party vote in Texas. Clinton has 41.9 percentage points more and Trump has 41.9 percentage points less when the results of the poll are compared to the combined PollyVote forecast for Texas.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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