Putting the results in context

Results of a new poll conducted by PEC were published. The poll asked participants from Ohio for whom they will vote: Democrat Hillary Clinton or Republican Donald Trump.

In Ohio, the popular vote is usually decided by a narrow margin. This is the reason why the state is commonly considered a battleground state, which makes it particularly interesting from a forecasting perspective.

The poll was conducted among 0 participants.

Putting the results in context

As a general rule, however, you should not have too much faith in the results of single polls, because they often incorporate large errors. At the very least, one should examine how a poll's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

To make the results comparable to forecasts from other methods, one can translate them into two-party vote shares. This procedure yields figures of 31.9% for Clinton and 0.0% for Trump. On August 16 Clinton received only 31.1% in the PEC poll and Trump received 0.0%.

Results in comparison to other polls

In comparison to the average results of other polls Clinton performed worse with 0.0 percentage points, while Trump did better with 0.0 percentage points.

The poll in comparison with PollyVote's prediction

The most recent PollyVote predicts Clinton to gain 51.0% and Trump 49.0% of the two-party vote in Ohio. Clinton has 19.1 percentage points less and Trump has 19.1 percentage points less when the results of the poll are compared to the combined PollyVote forecast for Ohio.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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