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Putting the results in context

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RCP released the results of a new poll, in which respondents from Ohio were asked for whom they will vote: Republican Donald Trump or Democrat Hillary Clinton.

In Ohio, the popular vote is usually close. This is the reason why the state is commonly regarded as a purple state, which makes it particularly interesting from a forecasting perspective.

RCP poll results
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Clinton

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Trump

The poll was conducted . The sample size was 0 participants.

Putting the results in context

As a general rule, however, don't have too much faith in the results of single polls, since they may incorporate large errors. At the very least, one should check how a poll's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

In order to make the results comparable to forecasts from other methods, you can convert them into two-party vote shares. This yields figures of 48.5% for Clinton and 0.0% for Trump.

The poll in comparison with PollyVote's prediction

The most recent PollyVote predicts Clinton to gain 51.0% and Trump 49.0% of the two-party vote in Ohio. Clinton has 2.5 percentage points less and Trump has 2.5 percentage points less when the results of the poll are compared to the combined PollyVote forecast for Ohio.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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