Putting the results in context

PEC released the results of a new poll, in which respondents from Pennsylvania were asked for whom they will vote: Donald Trump or Hillary Clinton.

This poll was conducted , among a random sample of 0 participants.

Putting the results in context

As any other method, polls are subject to bias. Therefore, as a general rule, a good strategy is to not be too confident the results of a single poll. Instead of trusting the results from single polls, forecasting research recommends to rely on combined polls or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that incorporates different methods and data.

To make the results comparable to forecasts from benchmark methods, you can translate them into shares of the two-party vote. This yields figures of 10.3% for Clinton and 0.0% for Trump. In the latest PEC poll on August 16 Clinton received only 10.2%, while Trump received 0.0%.

Results vs. other polls

When compared to the average results of other polls Clinton performed worse with 0.0 percentage points, while Trump did better with 0.0 percentage points.

Results compared to the combined PollyVote prediction

The most recent PollyVote predicts Clinton to gain 53.4% and Trump 46.7% of the two-party vote in Pennsylvania. Clinton has 43.1 percentage points less and Trump has 43.1 percentage points less when the results of the poll are compared to the combined PollyVote forecast for Pennsylvania.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.