Putting the results in context
Results of a new poll conducted by NYT Upshot were published. The poll asked interviewees from Arizona for whom they will vote: Democrat candidate Hillary Clinton or Republican candidate Donald Trump.
NYT Upshot poll results
The poll was conducted . A total of 0 respondents responded.
Putting the results in context
In general, however, one should not have too much faith in the results of single polls, as they often contain large errors. Instead of relying on results from single polls, the evidence-based approach is to consult combined polls or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that uses different methods and data.
In order to make the results comparable to forecasts from other methods, you can convert them into shares of the two-party vote. This procedure yields figures of 58.5% for Clinton and 0.0% for Trump. On August 15 Clinton received 58.5% in the NYT Upshot poll and Trump received 0.0%.
Results compared to other polls
In comparison to the average results of other polls Clinton performed better with 0.0 percentage points, while Trump did worse with 0.0 percentage points. The most recent PollyVote predicts Clinton to gain 53.8% and Trump % of the two-party vote in Arizona.