Putting the results in context

Votamatic published the results of a new poll. In this poll, interviewees from Iowa were asked for whom they will vote: Donald Trump or Hillary Clinton.

Historically, Iowa has been a battleground state, in which neither the GOP nor the Democrats have had overwhelming support to secure its electoral college votes. This is the reason why predictions in this state are of particular importance.

The poll was carried out with 0 respondents.

Putting the results in context

As any other method, polls are subject to bias. Hence, one should not focus too much on the results of an individual poll. Instead of relying on results from single polls, the evidence-based approach is to rely on combined polls or, even better, a combined forecast that draws upon forecasts from different methods, each of which draws upon different data.

For the following analysis, we convert Clinton's and Trump's raw poll numbers into two-party vote shares. This procedure results in figures of 49.0% for Clinton and 0.0% for Trump.

Comparison to other polls

In comparison to the average results of other polls Clinton performed worse with 0.0 percentage points, while Trump did better with 0.0 percentage points. The most recent PollyVote predicts Clinton to gain 48.5% and Trump % of the two-party vote in Iowa.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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