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Putting the results in context

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NYT Upshot released the results of a new poll, in which respondents from Arkansas were asked for whom they will vote: Republican Donald Trump or Democrat Hillary Clinton.

NYT Upshot poll results
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Clinton

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Trump

The poll was conducted . A total of 0 respondents responded.

Putting the results in context

As any other method, polls are subject to bias. Therefore, as a general rule, don't rely too much on the results of an individual poll. Instead of trusting the results from single polls, the evidence-based approach is to rely on combined polls or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that includes forecasts from different methods, each of which draws upon different data.

For the following analysis, we convert Trump's and Clinton's raw poll numbers into shares of the two-party vote. The respective figures are 89.4% for Clinton and 0.0% for Trump. For comparison: Only 89.1% was obtained by Clinton in the NYT Upshot poll on August 15, for Trump this result was 0.0%.

Results in comparison to other polls

When compared to the average results of other polls Clinton performed better with 0.0 percentage points, while Trump did worse with 0.0 percentage points. The most recent PollyVote predicts Clinton to gain 57.1% and Trump % of the two-party vote in Arkansas.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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