Putting the results in context

NYT Upshot published the results of a new poll. In this poll, interviewees from Ohio were asked for whom they will vote: Democrat Hillary Clinton or Republican Donald Trump.

In Ohio, the election outcome is often close. This is why the state is commonly referred to as a purple state, which makes it particularly interesting from a forecasting perspective.

This poll was conducted , among a random sample of 0 participants.

Putting the results in context

Individual polls should be treated with caution, since they may incorporate large errors. Rather than relying on results from single polls, the recommended strategy use combined polls or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that uses forecasts from different methods, each of which draws upon different data.

To make the results comparable to forecasts from other methods, one can convert them into two-party vote shares. This yields figures of 31.1% for Clinton and 0.0% for Trump. In the most recent NYT Upshot poll on August 15 Clinton received only 30.6%, while Trump received 0.0%.

Comparison to other polls

When compared to the average results of other polls Clinton performed worse with 0.0 percentage points, while Trump did better with 0.0 percentage points. The most recent PollyVote predicts Clinton to gain 49.0% and Trump % of the two-party vote in Ohio.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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