Putting the results in context

NYT Upshot published the results of a new poll. In this poll, interviewees from Idaho were asked for whom they will vote: Hillary Clinton or Donald Trump.

The poll was carried out among 0 participants.

Putting the results in context

As any other method, polls are subject to bias. Therefore, as a general rule, one should not be too confident the results of a single poll. Instead of trusting the results from single polls, you should use combined polls or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that relies on forecasts from different methods, each of which draws upon different data.

In order to make the results comparable to forecasts from benchmark methods, one can convert them into two-party vote shares. The resulting figures are 96.0% for Clinton and 0.0% for Trump. To compare: 96.1% was obtained by Clinton in the NYT Upshot poll on August 15, for Trump this result was 0.0%.

Results vs. other polls

When compared to the average results of other polls Clinton performed better with 0.0 percentage points, while Trump did worse with 0.0 percentage points. The most recent PollyVote predicts Clinton to gain 64.9% and Trump % of the two-party vote in Idaho.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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