Putting the results in context

NYT Upshot released the results of a new poll, in which respondents from Florida were asked for whom they will vote: Republican nominee Donald Trump or Democrat nominee Hillary Clinton.

In Florida, the popular vote is often close. Therefore, the state is commonly viewed as a battleground state, which makes it particularly interesting from a forecasting perspective.

The poll was in the field . The sample size was 0 participants.

Putting the results in context

As a general rule, however, one should not have too much faith in the results of single polls, because they can incorporate large errors. At least, one should check how a poll's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

For the following analysis, we translate Trump's and Clinton's raw poll numbers into two-party vote shares. The respective figures are 28.0% for Clinton and 0.0% for Trump. In the latest NYT Upshot poll on August 15 Clinton received only 27.5%, while Trump received 0.0%.

Results in comparison to other polls

When compared to the average results of other polls Clinton performed worse with 0.0 percentage points, while Trump did better with 0.0 percentage points. The most recent PollyVote predicts Clinton to gain 49.4% and Trump % of the two-party vote in Florida.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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