Results of a new poll conducted by NYT Upshot were circulated. The poll asked respondents from Oregon for whom they will vote: Republican nominee Donald Trump or Democrat nominee Hillary Clinton.
NYT Upshot poll results
The poll was conducted among 0 participants.
Putting the results in context
As any other method, polls are subject to bias. In general, one should not be overly confident the results of a single poll. Rather than relying on results from single polls, the best practice is to look at combined polls or, even better, a combined forecast that uses forecasts from different methods, each of which draws upon different data.
For the following comparison, we convert Clinton's and Trump's raw poll numbers into shares of the two-party vote. This procedure results in values of 15.2% for Clinton and 0.0% for Trump. On August 15 Clinton received only 15.0% in the NYT Upshot poll and Trump received 0.0%.
Comparison to other polls
When compared to the average results of other polls Clinton performed worse with 0.0 percentage points, while Trump did better with 0.0 percentage points. The most recent PollyVote predicts Clinton to gain 45.8% and Trump % of the two-party vote in Oregon.