Putting the results in context

NYT Upshot published the results of a new poll. In this poll, respondents from South Dakota were asked for whom they will vote: Republican nominee Donald Trump or Democrat nominee Hillary Clinton.

The poll was conducted with 0 respondents.

Putting the results in context

As a general rule, however, you should not have too much faith in the results of single polls, because they may incorporate large errors. Rather than trusting the results from single polls, the evidence-based approach is to use combined polls or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that incorporates forecasts from different methods, each of which draws upon different data.

For the following comparison, we translate Trump's and Clinton's raw poll numbers into shares of the two-party vote. This yields figures of 87.2% for Clinton and 0.0% for Trump. To compare: 87.5% was obtained by Clinton in the NYT Upshot poll on August 15, for Trump this result was 0.0%.

Comparison to other polls

When compared to the average results of other polls Clinton performed better with 0.0 percentage points, while Trump did worse with 0.0 percentage points. The most recent PollyVote predicts Clinton to gain 59.3% and Trump % of the two-party vote in South Dakota.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.