Putting the results in context

Results of a new poll administered by Votamatic were released. The poll asked participants from Virginia for whom they will vote: Republican nominee Donald Trump or Democrat nominee Hillary Clinton.

In Virginia, the election outcome is usually decided by a narrow margin. Therefore, the state is commonly considered a swing state, which makes it particularly interesting from a forecasting perspective.

This poll was conducted , among a random sample of 0 participants.

Putting the results in context

Single polls should be interpreted with caution, because they may include large biases. Instead of relying on results from single polls, the recommended strategy rely on combined polls or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that relies on different methods and data.

In order to make the results comparable to forecasts from other methods, one can translate them into shares of the two-party vote. This yields figures of 44.3% for Clinton and 0.0% for Trump.

Results vs. other polls

In comparison to the average results of other polls Clinton performed worse with 0.0 percentage points, while Trump did better with 0.0 percentage points. The most recent PollyVote predicts Clinton to gain 48.9% and Trump % of the two-party vote in Virginia.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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