Susquehanna published the results of a new poll. In this poll, interviewees from Pennsylvania were asked for whom they will vote: Democrat candidate Hillary Clinton or Republican candidate Donald Trump.
Susquehanna poll results
This poll was conducted from July 31 to August 4, among a random sample of 772 likely voters. Taking into account the poll's error margin of +/-3.5 percentage points, the results reflect a statistical tie.
Putting the results in context
Individual polls should be regarded with caution, since they can include substantial errors. Rather than relying on results from single polls, research in forecasting recommends to rely on combined polls or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that relies on forecasts from different methods, each of which draws upon different data.
In order to make the results comparable to forecasts from benchmark methods, one can convert them into two-party vote shares. This yields figures of 44.1% for Clinton and 0.0% for Trump.
Results compared to other polls
When compared to the average results of other polls Clinton performed worse with 0.0 percentage points, while Trump did better with 0.0 percentage points. This margin is outside the poll's error margin, which suggests that the poll is an outlier. The most recent PollyVote predicts Clinton to gain 46.7% and Trump % of the two-party vote in Pennsylvania.