Pennsylvania: 10 points lead for Clinton in new QuinnipiacQuinnipiac poll
Results of a new poll administered by QuinnipiacQuinnipiac were spread. The poll asked interviewees from Pennsylvania for whom they will vote: Democrat candidate Hillary Clinton or Republican candidate Donald Trump.
QuinnipiacQuinnipiac poll results
This poll was conducted from July 30 to August 7, among a random sample of 815 likely voters. The margin of error is +/-3.4 points. This means that the levels of voter support for both candidates do not differ significantly.
Putting the results in context
As any other method, polls are subject to bias. Thus, as a general rule, a good strategy is to not have too much faith in the results of a single poll. Instead of trusting the results from single polls, we recommend to use combined polls or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that draws upon different methods and data.
In order to make the results comparable to forecasts from benchmark methods, we convert them into two-party vote shares. This procedure yields figures of 44.7% for Clinton and 0.0% for Trump.
Comparison to other polls
In comparison to the average results of other polls Clinton performed worse with 0.0 percentage points, while Trump did better with 0.0 percentage points. This deviation is outside the poll's sampling error, which means that the poll is an outlier. The most recent PollyVote predicts Clinton to gain 46.7% and Trump % of the two-party vote in Pennsylvania.