New Vox.Com model: Clinton and Trump neck-and-neck

The Vox.Com model released an updated forecast of the election result. According to the model, Clinton will collect 49.1% of the two-party vote share, whereas Trump will end up with 50.9%.

Putting the results in context

Single econometric models should be interpreted with caution, as they can include substantial biases. Rather than trusting the results from single econometric models, you should rely on combined econometric models or, even better, a combined forecast that relies on forecasts from different methods, each of which draws upon different data.

Comparison to other econometric models

When compared to the average results of other econometric models Clinton performed worse with 0.1 percentage points, while Trump did better with 0.1 percentage points.

The Vox.Com model in comparison with PollyVote's prediction

Clinton has 4.0 percentage points less and Trump has 4.0 percentage points more when the results of the econometric model are compared to the combined PollyVote forecast.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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