What course would the US presidential election probably take at the national level? This question was presented to political scientists by the PollyVote team.
This expert survey was conducted from July 29 to July 31, among a random sample of 12 academics from a variety of colleges and universities. The experts’ mean forecast is that Clinton will win with 52.7% of the national major-party vote.
The expert survey compared with PollyVote's prediction
Clinton has 0.5 percentage points less and Trump has 0.5 percentage points more when the results of the expert survey are compared to the combined PollyVote forecast.