New NYT Upshot poll in Washington: Clinton and Trump in a virtual tie
NYT Upshot released the results of a new poll, in which respondents from Washington were asked for whom they will vote: Republican Donald Trump or Democrat Hillary Clinton.
NYT Upshot poll results
This poll was conducted , among a random sample of 0 participants.
Putting the results in context
As any other method, polls are subject to bias. Hence, don't be too confident the results of an individual poll. At least, one should examine how a poll's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
For the following analysis, we translate Clinton's and Trump's raw poll numbers into two-party vote shares. This procedure results in figures of 2.9% for Clinton and 0.0% for Trump. For comparison: 3.8% was obtained by Clinton in the NYT Upshot poll on August 15, for Trump this result was 0.0%.
Results vs. other polls
When compared to the average results of other polls Clinton performed worse with 0.0 percentage points, while Trump did better with 0.0 percentage points. The most recent PollyVote predicts Clinton to gain 44.5% and Trump % of the two-party vote in Washington.