Jérôme & Jérôme model: Clinton tied with Trump
The Jérôme & Jérôme model published an updated forecast of the election outcome. The model forecasts that Clinton and Trump will each receive 50% of the two-party vote.
Putting the results in context
As any other method, econometric models are subject to bias. Therefore, as a general rule, you should not have too much faith in the results of a single econometric model. At least, one should examine how a econometric model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
Comparison to other econometric models
In comparison to the average results of other econometric models Clinton performed better with 0.9 percentage points, while Trump did worse with 0.9 percentage points.
Comparison to the combined PollyVote
Clinton has 3.1 percentage points less and Trump has 3.1 percentage points more when the results of the econometric model are compared to the combined PollyVote forecast.