Jérôme & Jérôme model: Clinton tied with Trump

The Jérôme & Jérôme model is included in the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote forecast. The model currently predicts a tie, with both Clinton and Trump obtaining 50% of the two-party vote. In comparison, on August 14 Trump was still predicted to gain 0.0% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

Single econometric models should be treated with caution, as they can incorporate substantial errors. Rather, one should check how a econometric model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Comparison to other econometric models

When compared to the average results of other econometric models Clinton performed better with 1.3 percentage points, while Trump did worse with 1.3 percentage points.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

Clinton has 3.0 percentage points less and Trump has 3.0 percentage points more when the results of the econometric model are compared to the combined PollyVote forecast.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.