The Jérôme & Jérôme model is included in the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote forecast. The model currently predicts a tie, with both Clinton and Trump obtaining 50% of the two-party vote. In comparison, on August 14 Trump was still predicted to gain 0.0% of the vote.
Putting the results in context
Single econometric models should be treated with caution, as they can incorporate substantial errors. Rather, one should check how a econometric model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
Comparison to other econometric models
When compared to the average results of other econometric models Clinton performed better with 1.3 percentage points, while Trump did worse with 1.3 percentage points.
Comparison to the combined PollyVote
Clinton has 3.0 percentage points less and Trump has 3.0 percentage points more when the results of the econometric model are compared to the combined PollyVote forecast.