Jérôme & Jérôme model: Clinton tied with Trump

The Jérôme & Jérôme model enters the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote forecast. The model currently predicts a tie, with both Clinton and Trump winning 50% of the two-party vote.

Putting the results in context

Single econometric models should be treated with caution, since they often incorporate large biases. Instead of relying on results from single econometric models, you should rely on combined econometric models or, even better, a combined forecast that uses different methods and data.

Results vs. other econometric models

In comparison to the average results of other econometric models Clinton performed better with 0.9 percentage points, while Trump did worse with 0.9 percentage points.

The Jérôme & Jérôme model compared with PollyVote's prediction

Clinton has 3.0 percentage points less and Trump has 3.0 percentage points more when the results of the econometric model are compared to the combined PollyVote forecast.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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