The Jérôme & Jérôme model enters the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote forecast. The model currently predicts a tie, with both Clinton and Trump winning 50% of the two-party vote.
Putting the results in context
Single econometric models should be treated with caution, since they often incorporate large biases. Instead of relying on results from single econometric models, you should rely on combined econometric models or, even better, a combined forecast that uses different methods and data.
Results vs. other econometric models
In comparison to the average results of other econometric models Clinton performed better with 0.9 percentage points, while Trump did worse with 0.9 percentage points.
The Jérôme & Jérôme model compared with PollyVote's prediction
Clinton has 3.0 percentage points less and Trump has 3.0 percentage points more when the results of the econometric model are compared to the combined PollyVote forecast.