The Issue-index model is included in the index models component of the PollyVote forecast. According to this model, Clinton will collect 55.1% of the two-party vote share, whereas Trump will end up with 44.9%.
Putting the results in context
As any other method, index models are subject to bias. Hence, a good strategy is to not be overly confident the results of an individual index model. Rather than trusting the results from single index models, the evidence-based approach is to consult combined index models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that draws upon different methods and data.
Results in comparison to other index models
In comparison to the average results of other index models Clinton performed better with 1.3 percentage points, while Trump did worse with 1.3 percentage points.
Results compared to the combined PollyVote prediction
Clinton has 2.0 percentage points more and Trump has 2.0 percentage points less when the results of the index model are compared to the combined PollyVote forecast.