Fiscal model model: Clinton trails by a small margin

The Fiscal model model is captured in the econometric models component of the PollyVote. The model predicts that Clinton will collect 48.2% of the two-party vote share, while Trump will end up with 51.8%.

Putting the results in context

Single econometric models should be interpreted with caution, because they often include substantial errors. Rather, one should examine how a econometric model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Comparison to other econometric models

In comparison to the average results of other econometric models Clinton performed worse with 1.0 Prozentpunkt, while Trump did better with 1.0 Prozentpunkt.

The Fiscal model model compared with PollyVote's prediction

Clinton has 5.0 percentage points less and Trump has 5.0 percentage points more when the results of the econometric model are compared to the combined PollyVote forecast.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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