The Fiscal model model is captured in the econometric models component of the PollyVote. The model predicts that Clinton will collect 48.2% of the two-party vote share, while Trump will end up with 51.8%.
Putting the results in context
Single econometric models should be interpreted with caution, because they often include substantial errors. Rather, one should examine how a econometric model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
Comparison to other econometric models
In comparison to the average results of other econometric models Clinton performed worse with 1.0 Prozentpunkt, while Trump did better with 1.0 Prozentpunkt.
The Fiscal model model compared with PollyVote's prediction
Clinton has 5.0 percentage points less and Trump has 5.0 percentage points more when the results of the econometric model are compared to the combined PollyVote forecast.