The Fair model published an updated prediction of the election outcome. The model expects that Clinton will obtain 44.0% of the two-party vote share, whereas Trump will end up with 56.0%.
Putting the results in context
As any other method, econometric models are subject to bias. Thus, as a general rule, a good strategy is to not have too much faith in the results of an individual econometric model. At least, one should examine how a econometric model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
Results compared to other econometric models
In comparison to the average results of other econometric models Clinton performed worse with 5.2 percentage points, while Trump did better with 5.2 percentage points.
Comparison to the combined PollyVote
Clinton has 9.1 percentage points less and Trump has 9.1 percentage points more when the results of the econometric model are compared to the combined PollyVote forecast.