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DeSart model shows Trump in the lead


The DeSart model is captured in the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote. The model forecasts that Clinton will achieve 48.1% of the two-party vote share, while Trump will win 51.9%.

Putting the results in context

Single econometric models should be regarded with caution, because they can include substantial biases. Rather, one should examine how a econometric model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Results in comparison to other econometric models

When compared to the average results of other econometric models Clinton performed worse with 1.1 percentage points, while Trump did better with 1.1 percentage points.

Results compared to the combined PollyVote prediction

Clinton has 5.1 percentage points less and Trump has 5.1 percentage points more when the results of the econometric model are compared to the combined PollyVote forecast.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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