Clinton and Trump virtually tied in new Jobs model model

The Jobs model model is part of the econometric models component of the PollyVote forecast. The model currently forecasts a two-party vote share of 51.1% for Clinton and 48.9% for Trump.

Putting the results in context

As a general rule, however, you should not have too much faith in the results of single econometric models, because they may incorporate large errors. Rather than relying on results from single econometric models, we recommend to rely on combined econometric models or, even better, a combined forecast that uses different methods and data.

Results compared to other econometric models

In comparison to the average results of other econometric models Clinton performed better with 1.9 percentage points, while Trump did worse with 1.9 percentage points.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

Clinton has 2.0 percentage points less and Trump has 2.0 percentage points more when the results of the econometric model are compared to the combined PollyVote forecast.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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