Clinton and Trump neck-and-neck in latest Jobs model model
The Jobs model model is included in the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote. According to this model, Clinton will collect 51.1% of the two-party vote share, whereas Trump will win 48.9%.
Putting the results in context
In general, however, a good strategy is to not have too much faith in the results of single econometric models, since they can contain large errors. At least, one should check how a econometric model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
Results vs. other econometric models
In comparison to the average results of other econometric models Clinton performed better with 1.9 percentage points, while Trump did worse with 1.9 percentage points.
Comparison to the combined PollyVote
Clinton has 2.1 percentage points less and Trump has 2.1 percentage points more when the results of the econometric model are compared to the combined PollyVote forecast.