Putting the results in context

NYT Upshot published the results of a new poll. In this poll, interviewees from Nevada were asked for whom they will vote: Hillary Clinton or Donald Trump.

Historically, Nevada has been a purple state, in which neither the GOP nor the Democrats have had overwhelming support to secure that state's electoral college votes. This is why predictions here are of particular interest.

The poll was carried out. The sample size was 0 participants.

Putting the results in context

As any other method, polls are subject to bias. As a result, don't be overly confident the results of a single poll. Rather, one should examine how a poll's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

In order to make the results comparable to forecasts from benchmark methods, one can translate them into two-party vote shares. This procedure yields figures of 29.3% for Clinton and 0.0% for Trump.

Results vs. other polls

When compared to the average results of other polls Clinton performed worse with 0.0 percentage points, while Trump did better with 0.0 percentage points. The most recent PollyVote predicts Clinton to gain 49.0% and Trump % of the two-party vote in Nevada.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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