Putting the results in context

Votamatic published the results of a new poll. In this poll, interviewees from Nevada were asked for whom they will vote: Republican nominee Donald Trump or Democrat nominee Hillary Clinton.

In Nevada, the popular vote is often decided by a narrow margin. This is why the state is commonly referred to as a swing state, which makes it particularly interesting from a forecasting perspective.

The poll was in the field. The sample size was 0 participants.

Putting the results in context

In general, however, you should not have too much faith in the results of single polls, because they often contain large errors. At the very least, one should examine how a poll's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

To make the results comparable to forecasts from other methods, we translate them into two-party vote shares. This yields figures of 48.5% for Clinton and 0.0% for Trump.

Comparison to other polls

When compared to the average results of other polls Clinton performed worse with 0.0 percentage points, while Trump did better with 0.0 percentage points. The most recent PollyVote predicts Clinton to gain 49.0% and Trump % of the two-party vote in Nevada.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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