Putting the results in context

NYT Upshot published the results of a new poll. In this poll, interviewees from Louisiana were asked for whom they will vote: Republican Donald Trump or Democrat Hillary Clinton.

This poll was conducted, among a random sample of 0 participants.

Putting the results in context

As any other method, polls are subject to bias. Hence, one should not be overly confident the results of an individual poll. Instead of relying on results from single polls, forecasting research recommends to use combined polls or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that includes forecasts from different methods, each of which includes different data.

For the following analysis, we convert Clinton's and Trump's raw poll numbers into two-party vote shares. The corresponding figures are 92.6% for Clinton and 0.0% for Trump.

Comparison to other polls

In comparison to the average results of other polls Clinton performed better with 0.0 percentage points, while Trump did worse with 0.0 percentage points. The most recent PollyVote predicts Clinton to gain 57.5% and Trump % of the two-party vote in Louisiana.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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