Putting the results in context

NYT Upshot released the results of a new poll, in which respondents from Colorado were asked for whom they will vote: Donald Trump or Hillary Clinton.

In Colorado, the popular vote is usually decided by a narrow margin. Therefore, the state is commonly viewed as a swing state, which makes it particularly interesting from a forecasting perspective.

The poll was carried out among 0 participants.

Putting the results in context

As any other method, polls are subject to bias. As a result, one should not have too much faith in the results of an individual poll. Instead of relying on results from single polls, the best practice is to rely on combined polls or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that draws upon different methods and data.

In order to make the results comparable to benchmark forecasts, we translate them into shares of the two-party vote. This procedure yields values of 7.6% for Clinton and 0.0% for Trump.

Comparison to other polls

When compared to the average results of other polls Clinton performed worse with 0.0 percentage points, while Trump did better with 0.0 percentage points. The most recent PollyVote predicts Clinton to gain 45.9% and Trump % of the two-party vote in Colorado.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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