Putting the results in context

NYT Upshot released the results of a new poll, in which respondents from Iowa were asked for whom they will vote: Republican Donald Trump or Democrat Hillary Clinton.

Historically, Iowa has been a purple state, in which no single party has had overwhelming support to secure its electoral college votes. Therefore, forecasts here are of particular value.

This poll was conducted, among a random sample of 0 participants.

Putting the results in context

Single polls should be treated with caution, as they may include large errors. At least, one should check how a poll's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

To make the results comparable to forecasts from other methods, you can translate them into shares of the two-party vote. This yields figures of 41.7% for Clinton and 0.0% for Trump.

Results compared to other polls

When compared to the average results of other polls Clinton performed worse with 0.0 percentage points, while Trump did better with 0.0 percentage points. The most recent PollyVote predicts Clinton to gain 48.5% and Trump % of the two-party vote in Iowa.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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