Putting the results in context

Votamatic released the results of a new poll, in which respondents from Iowa were asked for whom they will vote: Democrat Hillary Clinton or Republican Donald Trump.

Historically, Iowa has been a swing state, in which no single party has had overwhelming support to secure its electoral college votes. This is the reason why predictions in this state are of particular interest.

The poll was conducted among 0 participants.

Putting the results in context

In general, however, don't have too much faith in the results of single polls, since they can incorporate large errors. Instead of trusting the results from single polls, research in forecasting recommends to use combined polls or, even better, a combined forecast that relies on forecasts from different methods, each of which relies on different data.

To make the results comparable to forecasts from benchmark methods, one can convert them into two-party vote shares. This yields figures of 49.0% for Clinton and 0.0% for Trump.

Results compared to other polls

When compared to the average results of other polls Clinton performed worse with 0.0 percentage points, while Trump did better with 0.0 percentage points. The most recent PollyVote predicts Clinton to gain 48.5% and Trump % of the two-party vote in Iowa.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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