Putting the results in context

Results of a new poll conducted by NYT Upshot were circulated. The poll asked interviewees from Ohio for whom they will vote: Hillary Clinton or Donald Trump.

Historically, Ohio has been a battleground state, in which neither the GOP nor the Democrats have had overwhelming support to clinch that state's electoral college votes. Hence, predictions here are of particular importance.

The poll was carried out. The sample size was 0 participants.

Putting the results in context

Single polls should be interpreted with caution, since they can incorporate large errors. Instead of relying on results from single polls, forecasting research recommends to rely on combined polls or, even better, a combined forecast that uses different methods and data.

To make the results comparable to benchmark forecasts, we convert them into shares of the two-party vote. This yields figures of 30.6% for Clinton and 0.0% for Trump.

Comparison to other polls

In comparison to the average results of other polls Clinton performed worse with 0.0 percentage points, while Trump did better with 0.0 percentage points. The most recent PollyVote predicts Clinton to gain 49.0% and Trump % of the two-party vote in Ohio.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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