New NYT Upshot poll in Hawaii: Clinton and Trump in a tossup

NYT Upshot released the results of a new poll, in which respondents from Hawaii were asked for whom they will vote: Republican nominee Donald Trump or Democrat nominee Hillary Clinton.

The poll was carried out with 0 respondents.

Putting the results in context

In general, however, don't have too much faith in the results of single polls, since they may contain large errors. Instead of trusting the results from single polls, we recommend to look at combined polls or, even better, a combined forecast that incorporates forecasts from different methods, each of which incorporates different data.

For the following comparison, we convert Trump's and Clinton's raw poll numbers into shares of the two-party vote. This yields figures of 1.2% for Clinton and 0.0% for Trump.

Comparison to other polls

When compared to the average results of other polls Clinton performed worse with 0.0 percentage points, while Trump did better with 0.0 percentage points. The most recent PollyVote predicts Clinton to gain 32.2% and Trump % of the two-party vote in Hawaii.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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