The Issues and Leaders model provided an updated prediction of the election outcome. The model forecasts that Clinton will achieve 52.2% of the two-party vote share, while Trump will win 47.8%.
Putting the results in context
Individual index models can contain substantial errors, and should be interpreted with caution. At the very least, one should check how a index model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
Comparison to other index models
In comparison to the average results of other index models Clinton performed worse with 1.6 percentage points, while Trump did better with 1.6 percentage points.
Results compared to the combined PollyVote prediction
Clinton has 0.9 percentage points less and Trump has 0.9 percentage points more when the results of the index model are compared to the combined PollyVote forecast.