Jerome model in Wyoming: Trump is in the lead

The Jerome model published an updated forecast of the election outcome. The model expects that Clinton will garner 32.3% of the two-party vote share in Wyoming, while Trump will end up with 67.7%.

Putting the results in context

Individual econometric models often contain large errors, and should be interpreted with caution. At the very least, one should examine how a econometric model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Comparison to other econometric models

An average of recent econometric models in Wyoming sees Trump at 71.1% of the two-party vote. Relative to his numbers in the Jerome model Trump's econometric model average is 3.4 percentage points higher.

The Jerome model in comparison with PollyVote's forecast

PollyVote currently predicts Trump to gain 70.8% of the two-party vote in Wyoming, which is 3.1 percentage points above the results of the Jerome model. In comparison, a look at the PollyVote national prediction for Trump indicates that the actual results are 20.8 percentage points higher.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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