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Tennessee: DeSart model shows Trump in the lead

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The DeSart model is included in the econometric models component of the PollyVote. It currently predicts a two-party vote share of 36.7% for Clinton and 63.3% for Trump in Tennessee.

Putting the results in context

Single econometric models should be regarded with caution, since they often incorporate large errors. At least, one should check how a econometric model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Comparison to other econometric models

Trump can currently count on 57.8% of the two-party vote in an average of recent econometric models in Tennessee. Compared to his numbers in the DeSart model Trump's econometric model average is 5.6 percentage points lower.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

PollyVote currently predicts Trump to gain 56.1% of the two-party vote in Tennessee, which is 7.2 percentage points below the results of the DeSart model. In comparison, a look at the PollyVote national prediction for Trump shows that the actual results are 16.4 percentage points higher.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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