The Jerome model released an updated forecast of the election outcome. It currently predicts a two-party vote share of 43.0% for Clinton and 57.0% for Trump in South Dakota.
Putting the results in context
Individual econometric models often contain substantial errors, and should be treated with caution. At least, one should check how a econometric model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
Results in comparison to other econometric models
Trump is currently at 59.6% of the major two-party vote according to an average of recent econometric models in South Dakota. This value is 2.6 percentage points higher than his corresponding numbers in the Jerome model.
Results compared to the combined PollyVote prediction
PollyVote currently predicts Trump to gain 59.3% of the two-party vote in South Dakota, which is 2.3 percentage points above the results of the Jerome model. In comparison, a look at the PollyVote national prediction for Trump indicates that the actual results are 10.1 percentage points higher.