The DeSart model released an updated forecast of the election result. It currently forecasts a two-party vote share of 42.0% for Clinton and 58.0% for Trump in South Carolina.
Putting the results in context
As any other method, econometric models are subject to bias. Thus, as a general rule, one should not have too much confidence in the results of an individual econometric model. At least, one should check how a econometric model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
Results in comparison to other econometric models
Looking at an average of South Carolina econometric models, Trump's current two-party vote share is at 55.7%. This value is 2.3 percentage points lower than his corresponding numbers in the DeSart model.
The DeSart model in comparison with PollyVote's forecast
PollyVote currently predicts Trump to gain 53.4% of the two-party vote in South Carolina, which is 4.6 percentage points below the results of the DeSart model. In comparison, a look at the PollyVote national prediction for Trump indicates that the actual results are 11.1 percentage points higher.