The Rothschild model is included in the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote forecast. The model predicts that Clinton will garner 95.0% of the two-party vote share in Oregon, whereas Trump will win 5.0%.
Putting the results in context
Single econometric models should be interpreted with caution, because they often include substantial errors. At least, one should examine how a econometric model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
Comparison to other econometric models
Clinton can currently count on 54.1% of the two-party vote in an average of recent econometric models in Oregon. In comparison to her numbers in the Rothschild model Clinton's econometric model average is 40.9 percentage points worse.
Comparison to the combined PollyVote
The results of the Rothschild model for Clinton are thus 42.2 percentage points above the combined PollyVote, which at the moment predicts a value of 52.8% in Oregon. In comparison, a look at the PollyVote national prediction for Clinton indicates that the actual results are 41.9 percentage points higher.