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Rothschild model in Wisconsin: Clinton is in the lead


The Rothschild model provided an updated forecast of the election result. The model expects that Clinton will achieve 60.0% of the two-party vote share in Wisconsin, while Trump will end up with 40.0%.

Putting the results in context

Single econometric models should be regarded with caution, as they may include substantial errors. Instead of relying on results from single econometric models, the best practice scientific advice is to look at combined econometric models or, even better, a combined forecast that relies on forecasts from different methods, each of which draws upon different data.

Results in comparison to other econometric models

Clinton currently runs at 53.1% of the major two-party vote according to an average of recent econometric models in Wisconsin. This value is 6.9 percentage points lower than her respective numbers in the Rothschild model.

The Rothschild model in comparison with PollyVote's forecast

PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 53.7% of the two-party vote in Wisconsin, which is 6.3 percentage points below the results of the Rothschild model. In comparison, a look at the PollyVote national prediction for Clinton indicates that the actual results are 6.9 percentage points higher.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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