The Rothschild model provided an updated prediction of the election result. According to the model, Clinton will receive 95.0% of the two-party vote share in Washington, while Trump will win 5.0%.
Putting the results in context
Individual econometric models should be treated with caution, since they can contain substantial biases. Instead of trusting the results from single econometric models, research in forecasting recommends to look at combined econometric models or, even better, a combined forecast that uses different methods and data.
Results compared to other econometric models
If we look at an average of Washington econometric models, Clinton's current two-party vote share is at 54.1%. Relative to her numbers in the Rothschild model Clinton's econometric model average is 40.9 percentage points lower.
The Rothschild model in comparison with PollyVote's prediction
PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 55.9% of the two-party vote in Washington, which is 39.1 percentage points below the results of the Rothschild model. In comparison, a look at the PollyVote national prediction for Clinton shows that the actual results are 41.9 percentage points higher.