The Rothschild model published an updated prediction of the election result. The model forecasts that Clinton will obtain 99.0% of the two-party vote share in Illinois, whereas Trump will end up with 1.0%.
Putting the results in context
Single econometric models often contain large biases, and should be treated with caution. At the very least, one should check how a econometric model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
Comparison to other econometric models
Looking at an average of Illinois econometric models, Clinton's current two-party vote share is at 54.0%. This value is 45.0 percentage points lower than her corresponding numbers in the Rothschild model.
Comparison to the combined PollyVote
PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 57.3% of the two-party vote in Illinois, which is 41.7 percentage points below the results of the Rothschild model. In comparison, a look at the PollyVote national prediction for Clinton indicates that the actual results are 45.9 percentage points higher.