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Rothschild model in Delaware: Clinton is in the lead

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The Rothschild model released an updated forecast of the election outcome. The model currently predicts a two-party vote share of 99.0% for Clinton and 1.0% for Trump in Delaware.

Putting the results in context

Single econometric models may incorporate large errors, and should be interpreted with caution. Rather than trusting the results from single econometric models, the evidence-based approach is to consult combined econometric models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that draws upon different methods and data.

Comparison to other econometric models

An average of recent econometric models in Delaware sees Clinton at 55.4% of the two-party vote. This value is 43.6 percentage points lower than her corresponding numbers in the Rothschild model.

Results compared to the combined PollyVote prediction

The results of the Rothschild model for Clinton are thus 43.8 percentage points above the combined PollyVote, which at the moment predicts a value of 55.2% in Delaware. In comparison, a look at the PollyVote national prediction for Clinton indicates that the actual results are 45.9 percentage points higher.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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