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Rothschild model in Connecticut: Clinton is in the lead


The Rothschild model is captured in the econometric models component of the PollyVote forecast. The model forecasts that Clinton will collect 98.0% of the two-party vote share in Connecticut, whereas Trump will win 2.0%.

Putting the results in context

In general, however, don't have too much faith in the results of single econometric models, because they can incorporate large errors. At the very least, one should examine how a econometric model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Results compared to other econometric models

An average of recent econometric models in Connecticut has Clinton at 55.1% of the two-party vote. This value is 42.9 percentage points lower than her respective numbers in the Rothschild model.

The Rothschild model in comparison with PollyVote's prediction

The results of the Rothschild model for Clinton are thus 43.4 percentage points above the combined PollyVote, which at the moment predicts a value of 54.6% in Connecticut. In comparison, a look at the PollyVote national prediction for Clinton shows that the actual results are 44.9 percentage points higher.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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