DeSart model in Rhode Island: Clinton with very clear lead

The DeSart model released an updated forecast of the election result. It currently forecasts a two-party vote share of 62.1% for Clinton and 37.9% for Trump in Rhode Island.

Putting the results in context

As any other method, econometric models are subject to bias. In general, you should not focus too much on the results of an individual econometric model. At the very least, one should check how a econometric model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Results in comparison to other econometric models

An average of recent econometric models in Rhode Island has Clinton at 61.9% of the two-party vote. This value is 0.2 percentage points lower than her respective numbers in the DeSart model.

The DeSart model in comparison with PollyVote's prediction

The results of the DeSart model for Clinton are thus 0.9 percentage points below the combined PollyVote, which at the moment predicts a value of 63.0% in Rhode Island. In comparison, a look at the PollyVote national prediction for Clinton indicates that the actual results are 9.0 percentage points higher.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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