The Jerome model is included in the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote. According to the model, Clinton will achieve 52.2% of the two-party vote share in New Mexico, while Trump will win 47.8%.
Putting the results in context
In general, however, one should not have too much faith in the results of single econometric models, as they often contain large errors. Rather than trusting the results from single econometric models, we recommend to look at combined econometric models or, even better, a combined forecast that incorporates forecasts from different methods, each of which draws upon different data.
Comparison to other econometric models
Clinton is currently at 52.6% of the major two-party vote according to an average of recent econometric models in New Mexico. In comparison to her numbers in the Jerome model Clinton's econometric model average is 0.4 percentage points better.
The Jerome model compared with PollyVote's forecast
The results of the Jerome model for Clinton are thus 1.1 percentage points below the combined PollyVote, which at the moment predicts a value of 53.3% in New Mexico. In comparison, a look at the PollyVote national prediction for Clinton shows that the actual results are 0.9 percentage points lower.