Hit enter after type your search item

Jerome model: Trump in New Mexico trails by a small margin

/
/
/
1 Views

The Jerome model is included in the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote. According to the model, Clinton will achieve 52.2% of the two-party vote share in New Mexico, while Trump will win 47.8%.

Putting the results in context

In general, however, one should not have too much faith in the results of single econometric models, as they often contain large errors. Rather than trusting the results from single econometric models, we recommend to look at combined econometric models or, even better, a combined forecast that incorporates forecasts from different methods, each of which draws upon different data.

Comparison to other econometric models

Clinton is currently at 52.6% of the major two-party vote according to an average of recent econometric models in New Mexico. In comparison to her numbers in the Jerome model Clinton's econometric model average is 0.4 percentage points better.

The Jerome model compared with PollyVote's forecast

The results of the Jerome model for Clinton are thus 1.1 percentage points below the combined PollyVote, which at the moment predicts a value of 53.3% in New Mexico. In comparison, a look at the PollyVote national prediction for Clinton shows that the actual results are 0.9 percentage points lower.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

This div height required for enabling the sticky sidebar