Minnesota: Clinton and Trump neck-and-neck in new DeSart model

The DeSart model is included in the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote. The model predicts that Clinton will receive 51.6% of the two-party vote share in Minnesota, whereas Trump will win 48.4%.

Putting the results in context

As a general rule, however, don't have too much faith in the results of single econometric models, as they may contain large errors. At the very least, one should examine how a econometric model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Comparison to other econometric models

An average of recent econometric models in Minnesota has Clinton at 55.1% of the two-party vote. This value is 3.5 percentage points higher than her respective numbers in the DeSart model.

Results compared to the combined PollyVote prediction

PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 53.8% of the two-party vote in Minnesota, which is 2.2 percentage points above the results of the DeSart model. In comparison, a look at the PollyVote national prediction for Clinton shows that the actual results are 1.5 percentage points lower.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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