Minnesota: Rothschild model shows Clinton in the lead

The Rothschild model is captured in the econometric models component of the PollyVote forecast. It currently forecasts a two-party vote share of 76.0% for Clinton and 24.0% for Trump in Minnesota.

Putting the results in context

As a general rule, however, you should not have too much faith in the results of single econometric models, since they often incorporate large errors. Instead of relying on results from single econometric models, one should use combined econometric models or, even better, a combined forecast that uses forecasts from different methods, each of which draws upon different data.

Results in comparison to other econometric models

An average of recent econometric models in Minnesota sees Clinton at 55.1% of the two-party vote. This value is 21.0 percentage points lower than her respective numbers in the Rothschild model.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

The results of the Rothschild model for Clinton are thus 22.2 percentage points above the combined PollyVote, which at the moment predicts a value of 53.8% in Minnesota. In comparison, a look at the PollyVote national prediction for Clinton indicates that the actual results are 22.9 percentage points higher.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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